Former vice president Mike Pence was the first domino to fall, drawing increased focus and pressure on the remaining single-digit candidates for the Republican presidential nomination to confront the harsh reality that victory will not be theirs.
In the Real Clear Politics polling average, Pence, at 3.4 percent, held fifth place but showed no movement. His campaign finances had tightened and his frustrating lack of progress prompted the difficult decision to abandon his candidacy.
While he did not endorse any of his competitors, his departure from the race shifted the focus to those directly behind in the polling averages – former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie at 2.3 percent, South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott at 1.7 percent and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy at 4.6 percent – none of whom has gained ground and remain well out of the running.
While rumors of a withdrawal have swirled around Scott, Christie appears intent on carrying through to the New Hampshire primary in January, hoping to finish strong in a state where he has gambled a great deal of time and money.
As former president Donald Trump, despite indictments and criminal trials, maintains a stout 30 to 40-point lead, the Republican establishment faces a more intense debate over the options available to it.
For those seeking a Trump alternative, the path forward involves choosing from among at least three options:
Convince Scott, Christie and Ramaswamy to end their quests and coalesce behind either Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis or former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley.
Hope that Trump will be sucked down by the quicksand of legal issues he faces, including the possibility of guilty verdicts.
Swallow hard and concede Trump’s nomination is inevitable.
Time, however, is not on their side.
The Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary are little more than two months off. Trump holds a 30-point lead over second place DeSantis in Iowa and a 32-point lead over second place Haley in New Hampshire. Even if those margins shrink in the coming weeks, decisive victories by Trump in those states and the continued inability of his competition to gain ground will seal the deal for him.
Christie, most strident critic of Trump in the field, has been unrelenting in his attacks on the former president’s intellect, honesty and policies, even predicting he’ll occupy a jail cell before the election.
If belligerence translated into support, Christie would be hard on Trump’s heels. It didn’t and he isn’t.
Copyright 2023 Carl Golden, distributed exclusively by Cagle Cartoons newspaper syndicate.